"If we get inflation, the Fed will be behind the curve," top economist Adam Posen warned.

Our survey shows economists expect slower growth and see a recession as more likely. They were pessimistic a year ago, too, ...

Investors are acting complacent and "significantly underpricing" the risk of an imminent recession, the strategist Daniel von ...

President Donald Trump’s latest tariff tweaks appear to have helped stabilize U.S. financial markets — at least, for now.

Growing recession risks to Canada from the U.S.-led trade war will push the Bank of Canada to cut interest rates at least ...

If the U.S. economy avoids a downturn caused by tariffs, economists see risks of financially painful "stagflation." ...

An aggressive U.S. tariff policy will trigger a significant slowdown in the U.S. economy this year and next, with the median ...

Christopher J. Waller argued that the effect of tariffs on prices could be short-lived, but he warned about a bigger hit to ...

Forecasters are split on whether President Donald Trump's tariff campaign will push the economy into a recession, with many ...

The note highlighted a disconnect between the S&P 500’s (SP500) 20x forward P/E ratio and rising recession risks ... s manufacturing push risks anchoring higher goods inflation – a dynamic ...

Von Ahlen suggests investors focus on defensive sectors and inflation-protected Treasurys ... and "significantly underpricing" the risk of an imminent recession. "Trump's tariff reprieve has ...

Given the current real-time inflation of 1.35%, trending lower, and the base-case -0.5% mild recession that's likely to occur if 28% global tariffs remain in effect, the Fed should be cutting ...