US plans to deploy Dark Eagle hypersonic missiles in the Middle East. US invasion of Iran by December 31, 2026 at 0.2% YES.

Powell reports solid US economic growth despite the Iran war energy shock. Rate cut after June 2026 at 3.6% YES.

Tether Investments has proposed merging Twenty-One Capital, Strike, and Elektron Energy into a single publicly traded entity.

Brazil's Senate rejected Lula's Supreme Court nominee, weakening his position ahead of 2026. Tarcísio de Freitas winning 2026 ...

Trump reviews US troop levels in Germany amid Iran tensions. War declaration on Iran by December 31, 2026 at 7.5% YES.

Amazon plans to sell AI hardware, impacting NVIDIA's market position. NVIDIA largest by market cap on June 30 now at 86% YES.

Pentagon reports the US war in Iran has cost $25 billion so far, while the Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026 market sits at ...

Iran holds pro-government rallies amid stability concerns. Regime fall by April 30 at 0.1% YES, by June 30 at 8% YES.

UN maritime agency rejects Iran's toll plan for Strait of Hormuz shipping. Traffic normalization by April 30 at 0% YES.

US-Iran talks have stalled, leading to a drop in the odds for lifting the Hormuz blockade by May 31 to 43.5% YES.

Iran's navy commander announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a blockade lift by May 31 at 43.5% YES.

Alphabet's cloud revenue hits $20B, but NVIDIA's market cap odds barely shift. NVIDIA largest company by April 30 at 99.8% ...