Forecasting epidemics of infectious diseases is notoriously hard, but the potential value to society for cracking that scientific nut is tremendous. Now a new approach is on the scene. The traditional ...

Expert judgment elicitation involves the structured collection and quantification of specialists’ beliefs about uncertain parameters when empirical data are limited or absent. By translating ...

In an increasingly data-driven world, data and its use aren't always all it's cracked up to be. This course aims to address the critical lack of any or appropriate data in many areas where complex ...

Pearl.com evaluation of 25 models finds leading AI systems align with experts only ~70% of the time, with some widely used models dropping to ~20% in certain domains. Top AI models align with experts ...

Nuance and Judgement are Needed for an AI Resilient Enterprise. While multi-modal AI can ingest vast amounts of data, it lacks inherent judgment and nuance.

SANTA CLARA, CA / ACCESS Newswire / February 4, 2026 / Expert Intelligence™, a startup building AI systems that automate expert decision-making in regulated laboratory environments, today announced it ...

Philip Tetlock’s Expert Political Judgment was a groundbreaking look at whether political experts really are expert, as judged by their success at making ...

Preparedness for and response to a nuclear emergency are in large part technical, physical undertakings. They involve equipment such as pumps, generators, containment vessels, and helicopters. But ...

As the 2018 market outlooks begin to flood my inbox I'm reminded of one of the best books written on the topic of expert forecasting abilities — Expert Political Judgment by Philip Tetlock. Tetlock ...